Blog post

Chart of the week - The consequences of financial disintegration

Publishing date
03 May 2012

The recent ECB report on "" has exposed in detail the deterioration in European financial market integration caused by the crisis. Banks located in the weakest countries find it more and more difficult to access liquidity, and this translates into segmented funding conditions for the private sector as a whole and forces the ECB to play an ever bigger role as financial intermediary of last resort in lieu of a structurally malfunctioning interbank market.

Figure 1: Financial disintegration and the mediating role fo the ECB

RTEmagicC_120502_1.jpg

Source: National Central Banks; ECB. South = Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy; North = Germany, Luxembourg, Finland, Belgium.

Figure 1 shows that countries in the South of the Euro Area have been taking up an increasing share of Eurosystem liquidity since the start of the crisis, while the share of North has been declining. During 2011, Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain accounted for about 70% of the entire Eurosystem liquidity, which has been key in replacing outflows of private capital and sheltering countries from the consequences of a sudden stop in capital flows (see our recent Policy Contribution on this question).

But our reconstruction on a country by country of the use of the LTRO in figure 2 illustrates interesting divergence even within the aforementioned groups of countries. This data is not straightforward to gather. The ECB only publishes the aggregate volume of Marginal and Longer Term refinancing Operations (MRO and LTRO), without any country breakdown. To reconstruct each country’s share, we merged data provided by National Central Banks but the aggregation sometimes may require some assumption due to the different periodicity of data publication or level of details. For example, we had to keep the shares of Greece and Italy in March fixed at the same level as they were in February, because the latest data have not been released yet. Data for France only cover the period of 2011, because a monthly breakdown is not available for previous years.

Figure 2: Country breakdown of ECB liquidity provision

RTEmagicC_120502_2.jpg

Source: National Central Banks, ECB. Note: the Bank of Greece has not published the disaggregation of Central Banks’ lending into MRO and LTRO since December. Data for January and February are therefore proxied with the general series “Claims on Domestic MFIs” on the Bank of Greece’s balance sheet assets. Over the past, the series however is very consistent with the numbers that we would obtain by summing LTRO and MRO figures.

About the authors

  • Shahin Vallée

    Shahin Vallée is head of DGAP’s Geo-Economics Program. Prior to that, he was a senior fellow in DGAP’s Alfred von Oppenheim Center for European Policy Studies.

    Until June 2018, Vallée was a senior economist for Soros Fund Management, where he worked on a wide range of political and economic issues. He also served as a personal advisor to George Soros. Prior to that, he was the economic advisor to Emmanuel Macron at the French Ministry for the Economy and Finance, where he focused on European economic affairs. Between 2012 and 2014, Vallée was the economic advisor to President of the European Council Herman Van Rompuy. This experience has put him at the heart of European economic policy discussions since 2012, in particular on issues related to the euro area and international policy coordination (IMF, G20). Having started his career working for social investment vehicles and entrepreneurship in Africa, he has also worked as a visiting fellow at Bruegel, a Brussels-based economic think tank, and as an economist for a global investment bank in London.

    Vallée is currently completing a PhD in political economy at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He holds a master’s degree from Columbia University in New York, a degree in public affairs from Sciences Po in Paris, and an undergraduate degree in econometrics from the Sorbonne.

  • Silvia Merler

    Silvia Merler, an Italian citizen, is the Head of ESG and Policy Research at Algebris Investments.

    She joined Bruegel as Affiliate fellow at Bruegel in August 2013. Her main research interests include international macro and financial economics, central banking and EU institutions and policy making.

    Before joining Bruegel, she worked as Economic Analyst in DG Economic and Financial Affairs of the European Commission (ECFIN). There she focused on macro-financial stability as well as financial assistance and stability mechanisms, in particular on the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), providing supportive analysis for the policy negotiations.

     

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